Season
Playoff Odds
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Season
2026 Season · Preseason
Every game of the season simulated thousands of times, before any of them are played. Team strength comes from ESPN's season-long projections for each drafted roster; standings are settled by the league's real tiebreakers.
Every Team
Sort by any column. Odds are the share of simulated seasons ending in a playoff berth. Every team starts 0-0, so the whole schedule is simulated from projected roster strength.
| Team JuliettManager J | 0-0 | 61% | 24% | — |
| Team NovemberManager N | 0-0 | 57% | 21% | — |
| Team CharlieManager C | 0-0 | 56% | 20% | — |
| Team IndiaManager I | 0-0 | 55% | 21% | — |
| Team LimaManager L | 0-0 | 54% | 18% | — |
| Team KiloManager K | 0-0 | 50% | 15% | — |
| Team GolfManager G | 0-0 | 49% | 15% | — |
| Team HotelManager H | 0-0 | 48% | 16% | — |
| Team OscarManager O | 0-0 | 48% | 14% | — |
| Team AlphaManager A | 0-0 | 46% | 14% | — |
| Team FoxtrotManager F | 0-0 | 41% | 13% | — |
| Team PapaManager P | 0-0 | 36% | 10% | — |
Seed is the mean final standing across simulations; xW is expected wins; SoS ranks the remaining schedule, 1 being the hardest.
The Cut Line
Top 6 make the field, top 2 draw a first-round bye. Grouped by simulated odds, not by today's seed.
70%+ playoff odds
No team is safe yet.
30–70% playoff odds
Team by Team
Open a team for its finish distribution, remaining schedule and per-game win chances.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Playoff Machine
Pick a winner in any game left on the schedule and watch the seeds move. Standings, tiebreakers and the playoff field are the league's own — nothing here is saved.
Pick a winner in any game below. Nothing here is saved to the league.
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3
Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Playoff projection
Top 6 make the field, top 2 draw a bye. Ties are settled by the league’s own rules, on points scored so far.
Round one
Under 30% playoff odds
Nobody is buried yet.