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2023 Draft
Draft recap, grade and every selection Team Kilo made.
Best Pick
Raheem MostertRaheem Mostert
RB
Worst Pick
Kadarius ToneyKadarius Toney
WR
Biggest Value
Raheem MostertRaheem MostertRB
Biggest Reach
Kadarius ToneyKadarius ToneyWR
Draft Efficiency
15.6%
Draft Accuracy
31.3%
Hindsight
Measured against the best players still on the board at each of this team's picks — value in season points over a replacement-level starter, and what that value was worth in wins in this league.
Biggest Missed Opportunity
Justin JeffersonJustin Jefferson
WR
Biggest Steal
Raheem MostertRaheem MostertRB
Points Left on the Board
1,132
Roster construction
How the picks split across positions, and the earliest one spent on each.
6 (38%)
First at #1
4 (25%)
First at #29
2 (13%)
First at #57
2 (12%)
First at #84
Every selection
All 16 picks in order.
Estimated Wins Left
~8.0
1 (6%)
First at #169
1 (6%)
First at #196
ADP 1.0
A fair return on the pick. Finished WR37 against a WR1 slot expectation, averaged 18.5 PPG, and played 9 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 50 · Production 76.8 · Availability 71.5 · Expectations 0
2.14
#28
DeVonta SmithDeVonta SmithWR15 · 14.2 PPG · 16/16 games
PHIADP 30.0
A strong return on the pick. Taken 2 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR15, averaged 14.2 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 46.4 · Production 75.2 · Availability 100 · Expectations 51.2
3.01
#29
Aaron Jones Sr.Aaron Jones Sr.RB39 · 11.6 PPG · 10/16 gamesMINADP 32.0
A disappointing return. Taken 3 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB39 against a RB10 slot expectation, averaged 11.6 PPG, and played 10 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 44.6 · Production 53.7 · Availability 75.9 · Expectations 0
4.14
#56
Alexander MattisonAlexander MattisonRB35 · 8.6 PPG · 15/17 games
LVADP 54.0
A fair return on the pick. Drafted 2 picks after ADP, finished RB35 against a RB21 slot expectation, averaged 8.6 PPG, and played 15 of 17 scheduled games.
Value 53.6 · Production 47.2 · Availability 95 · Expectations 4.5
5.01
#57
Kyle Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TE14 · 8.3 PPG · 16/16 games
ATLADP 58.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 1 pick ahead of ADP, finished TE14 against a TE7 slot expectation, averaged 8.3 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 48.2 · Production 52.4 · Availability 100 · Expectations 20.5
6.14
#84
Tua TagovailoaTua TagovailoaQB9 · 16.4 PPG · 16/16 gamesMIAADP 101.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 17 picks ahead of ADP, finished QB9 against a QB13 slot expectation, averaged 16.4 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 19.6 · Production 63.5 · Availability 100 · Expectations 64.3
7.01
#85
Michael Pittman Jr.Michael Pittman Jr.WR13 · 16.2 PPG · 15/16 games
INDADP 87.0
An excellent pick. Taken 2 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR13 against a WR35 slot expectation, averaged 16.2 PPG, played 15 of 16 scheduled games, and no WR taken later outscored him.
Value 46.4 · Production 82 · Availability 97.8 · Expectations 85.5
8.14
#112
Kadarius ToneyKadarius ToneyWR73 · 4.1 PPG · 13/17 gamesKCADP 154.0
A bust. Taken 42 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR73 against a WR47 slot expectation, averaged 4.1 PPG, and played 13 of 17 scheduled games.
Value 0 · Production 19 · Availability 85.8 · Expectations 0
9.01
#113
Darnell MooneyDarnell MooneyWR65 · 7.4 PPG · 9/16 gamesATLADP 140.0
A bust. Taken 27 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR65 against a WR48 slot expectation, averaged 7.4 PPG, and played 9 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 1.8 · Production 32.3 · Availability 71.5 · Expectations 0
10.14
#140
Raheem MostertRaheem MostertQuestionableRB3 · 17.9 PPG · 15/17 gamesMIAADP 122.0
One of the best late-round values in the league. Drafted 18 picks after ADP, finished RB3 against a RB44 slot expectation, averaged 17.9 PPG, played 15 of 17 scheduled games, and no RB taken later outscored him.
Value 82.1 · Production 85.6 · Availability 95 · Expectations 97.6
11.01
#141
Jared GoffJared GoffQB8 · 16.8 PPG · 16/16 games
DETADP 153.0
A solid return on the pick. Taken 12 picks ahead of ADP, finished QB8 against a QB18 slot expectation, averaged 16.8 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 28.6 · Production 66 · Availability 100 · Expectations 80
12.14
#168
Kenny GainwellKenny GainwellRB45 · 6.1 PPG · 15/16 gamesPHIADP 192.0
A bust. Taken 24 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB45 against a RB48 slot expectation, averaged 6.1 PPG, and played 15 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 7.1 · Production 33.7 · Availability 97.8 · Expectations 35.5
13.01
#169
Washington Commanders D/STWashington Commanders D/STD/ST25 · 5.3 PPG · 8/16 gamesWSHADP 175.0
A bust. Taken 6 picks ahead of ADP, finished D/ST25 against a D/ST14 slot expectation, averaged 5.3 PPG, and played 8 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 39.3 · Production 13.2 · Availability 67.1 · Expectations 0
14.14
#196
Greg ZuerleinGreg ZuerleinQuestionableK25 · 11.0 PPG · 1/17 games
NYJADP 188.0
A bust. Drafted 8 picks after ADP, finished K25 against a K13 slot expectation, averaged 11.0 PPG, and played 1 of 17 scheduled games.
Value 64.3 · Production 14.3 · Availability 7.5 · Expectations 0
15.01
#197
Van JeffersonVan JeffersonWR89 · 4.8 PPG · 4/16 games
PITExp ~182
A bust. Drafted 15 picks after expectation, finished WR89 against a WR72 slot expectation, averaged 4.8 PPG, and played 4 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 76.8 · Production 22 · Availability 36.9 · Expectations 0
16.14
#224
Mike GesickiMike GesickiTE30 · 5.9 PPG · 8/16 games
CINADP 229.0
A bust. Taken 5 picks ahead of ADP, finished TE30 against a TE25 slot expectation, averaged 5.9 PPG, and played 8 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 41.1 · Production 26.6 · Availability 67.1 · Expectations 14.2